Reliance shares open 2% higher on robust Q2 earnings 

Reliance shares open 2% higher on robust Q2 earnings 

Gross revenue from operations of India’s most valued company stood at Rs 2.55 lakh crore in the quarter ended September 30, compared to Rs 2.52 lakh crore last year

consolidated net profit of Rs 19,878 crore in the second quarter of financial year 2023-24, an increase of 29.7 percent from a year ago

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Shares of Reliance Industries Ltd opened over 2 percent up on the back of strong earnings, thanks to a robust performance in retail, Jio, and upstream businesses. The stock was trading at Rs 2,302 on the BSE at 9.33am, up 1.6 percent from its previous close.

The results met expectations, with analysts highlighting strong consumer business growth, record retail earnings, robust digital service expansion, and improved oil and gas earnings from higher KG D6 gas production.

Its consolidated net profit reached Rs 19,878 crore in the second quarter of financial year 2023-24, rising 29.7 percent from last year, despite a dip in revenue in its oil-to-chemicals business.

Gross revenue from operations of India’s most-valued company stood at Rs 2.55 lakh crore in the quarter ended September 30, compared to Rs 2.52 lakh crore last year. RIL’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) increased by 30.2 percent to Rs 44,867 crore in Q2FY24.

“In-line EBITDA and 2QF24 earnings across divisions, but earnings quality was better than expected in terms of oil to chemicals margins, growth in retail sales, and reduction in net debt, with guidance for slowdown in capex intensity in 2024,” said Morgan Stanley in its latest note.

Capex remains high, but the management expects them to peak in FY24 and decrease after completing the 5G rollout by December 2023. RIL’s net debt decreased to Rs 1.17 lakh crore in September, down from Rs 1.25 lakh crore in March, thanks to funds raised in Reliance Retail.

“We believe net debt concerns are overdone, and also because RIL has industry leading capabilities across businesses to drive robust 14-15 percent EPS CAGR over the next 3-5 years,” said JM Financial in a note. The brokerage house reiterated its ‘buy’ rating on RIL and unchanged its target price to Rs 2,900 a share.

Energy business EBITDA increased by 7 percent, compared to the previous quarter, meeting analysts’ expectations. The decrease in chemical margins was less than anticipated, thanks to restocking in India, and was compensated for by higher refining margins. RIL’s implied GRM averaged $13.5 a barrel, compared to $11.5 in 1QF24, due to increased product cracks. Implied chemical margins decreased by 6 percent on-quarter, with EBITDA-per-tonne for the O2C business at $115, still below the mid-cycle, analysts said. Domestic demand for polymer and polyester showed 25 percent and 12 percent on-year growth.

Digital EBITDA was as expected at Rs141 billion, with slightly lower ARPU but stronger subscriber additions. Retail EBITDA exceeded expectations, reaching Rs 58.3 billion, driven by growth in grocery and fashion and lifestyle segments.

Analysts believe RIL can achieve a strong 14-15 percent EPS growth over the next 3-5 years, primarily due to expected 10 percent annual growth in Jio’s ARPU in FY23-28. This is because ARPU is on a long-term upward trend due to industry dynamics, future investments, and the goal to prevent a duopoly market. Additionally, RIL’s retail business maintains strong growth momentum as it enhances omni-channel capabilities.

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Disclosure: MoneyControl is a part of the Network18 group. Network18 is controlled by Independent Media Trust, of which Reliance Industries is the sole beneficiary.

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