Interglobe Aviation gains on Morgan Stanley’s ‘overweight’ call; brokerage sees 21% upside
Morgan Stanley has said the near-term demand and airfare trends remain supportive. IndiGo will also benefit from consolidation in the aviation sector
In the past month, the IndiGo has surged 7 percent against a 0.8 percent rise in the benchmark Sensex.
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Shares of Interglobe Aviation, which operates the low-cost airline IndiGo, gained a percent in the morning trade on November 22 after global brokerage firm Morgan Stanley’s “overweight” call on the counter with a target price of Rs 3,217, a 21 percent upside from the current price.
Morgan Stanley said that the near-term demand and airfare trends remain supportive. “We maintain that IndiGo would be a beneficiary of the industry consolidation. IndiGo’s valuation appears attractive as it trades at 7.3 times (x) EV EBITDA against pre-Covid mean of 8.5x,” the brokerage firm added.
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In the September quarter of the current financial year, India’s biggest airline reported 19.6 percent year-on-year (YoY) growth in revenue and reported a profit for four quarters in a row.
The company maintained same capacity addition guidance for the northern regions in mid-teens for FY24E, with capacity average seat miles (ASKM) to rise by 25 percent YoY in Q3FY24.
ALSO READ: Indigo responds to allegations of offloading passengers in Bengaluru over low occupancy
The company expects grounding of another 30-plus aircraft during the January-March 2024 period due to issues with the Pratt & Whitney engines used in Airbus A320 aircraft.
Analysts at Prabhudas Lilladher shared a “buy” rating for the counter, with a target price of Rs 2,816. “We broadly maintain our estimates and expect revenue compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16 percent over next 2 years, with the EBITDAR margin of 22.8 percent/25.1 percent in FY24E/FY25E,” they said.
The recent decision to levy fuel surcharge in the band of Rs 300-1,000 was expected to provide cushion to gross spreads in an environment of rising ATF prices, the brokerage firm said.
At 11.15 am, the stock was trading at Rs 2,603.35 on the BSE, down 0.65 percent from the previous close. In the past month, the stock has surged 7 percent against a 0.8 percent rise in the benchmark Sensex.
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